What You Need to Know About Trump’s Comprehensive Reciprocal Tariffs

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WASHINGTON ― President Donald Trump is set to implement his long-anticipated economic strategy on Wednesday, introducing his most substantial round of tariffs to date. Previous duties on imports have unsettled markets and sparked a global trade conflict.

Two months into his latest term, Trump has already imposed tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China, including all steel and aluminum products, as well as foreign automobiles and auto parts. He has also threatened additional steep tariffs against various nations, including traditional allies within the European Union, notably on European wine.

However, Trump has designated April 2 as a pivotal moment for his “America First” trade strategy, intending to stimulate domestic manufacturing by making it costlier for businesses to import goods into the U.S.

That date marks when Trump plans to unveil his reciprocal tariffs, targeting countries that contribute to the staggering $1.2 trillion U.S. trade deficit. The measures will officially commence on Thursday.

Here’s what you need to know as Trump labels this move “the big one.”

What are reciprocal tariffs?

Trump has claimed that reciprocal tariffs will be enforced against nations that impose fees on U.S. exports, pledging to match those tariffs with equivalent duties.

On February 13, Trump signed a memorandum instructing U.S. trade officials to assess tariffs country by country, assembling a list of customized retaliatory measures.

Why is Trump advocating for reciprocal tariffs?

Trump has stated that reciprocal tariffs are intended to counteract what his administration considers unjust trade practices abroad while encouraging firms to manufacture products domestically to avoid incurring the new charges.

In 2024, the U.S. experienced a record trade deficit of $1.2 trillion, an imbalance that Trump is striving to correct through these measures.

Trump has criticized the U.S. for permitting other nations to impose tariffs on American exports without facing repercussions.

What is the ‘Dirty 15’?

Last week, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent indicated that starting April 2, the Trump administration will assign a reciprocal tariff rate to each country based on the tariffs they impose on U.S. exports.

He noted that the nations most affected will comprise the “Dirty 15,” those that significantly contribute to the U.S. trade deficit and impose substantial tariffs.

“We refer to this group as the ‘Dirty 15,'” Bessent mentioned during an appearance on Fox Business, stating they implement considerable tariffs and other unfair trade barriers. “It represents 15% of the countries, but they account for a significant portion of our trade volume.”

The White House has not yet disclosed the identities of the “Dirty 15” countries, but the largest trade deficit contributors to the U.S. include China, the EU, Mexico, Vietnam, Taiwan, Japan, South Korea, Canada, India, Thailand, Switzerland, Malaysia, Indonesia, Cambodia, and South Africa, as reported by the Wall Street Journal.

Is Trump refining the tariffs?

Bessent’s comments suggest that the Trump administration may be narrowing the focus of the reciprocal tariffs from what was initially proposed.

Additionally, although Trump has instituted tariffs on the auto sector, it appears that his administration may exclude certain other sector-specific tariffs he previously considered, according to recent reports from Bloomberg and the Wall Street Journal.

This includes plans for 25% tariffs on all semiconductor, microchip, and pharmaceutical imports, which Trump has indicated he intends to enforce but has not yet acted upon.

When asked on Friday whether he anticipates allowing exemptions for life-saving medications, Trump responded while aboard Air Force One heading to South Florida, “We’ll announce that soon. However, we must bring pharmaceuticals and medicines back into our country.”

The lingering uncertainty resembles a cycle of Trump’s assertive tariff policy, where he frequently hints at aggressive measures but often retracts them shortly after.

Why is Trump shifting his stance?

In light of rising economic concerns domestically and abroad, Trump noticeably softened his position regarding the anticipated tariff rates for other nations this week — a stark contrast to the assertive buildup he maintained for weeks.

“We will make the process quite accommodating,” Trump told reporters on Wednesday in the Oval Office after signing the new auto tariffs. “I believe people will be quite taken aback. In many cases, it will be less than what they’ve been charging us for decades.”

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt echoed Trump’s sentiments on Thursday, assuring reporters, “He believes that many of these figures will turn out to be more moderate than what people were anticipating.”

Will the tariffs trigger a recession in the U.S.?

Experts express concern that broad reciprocal tariffs could exacerbate a weakening economy and lead to increased prices for consumers. Tariffs are essentially taxes on imported goods that businesses typically pass on to the consumers.

Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s, informed USA TODAY that comprehensive reciprocal tariffs left in place for extended periods could be “the kindling for a recession.”

Zandi outlined several repercussions that could emerge from the new levies: increased costs for low- and middle-income households, a new tariff burden for U.S. companies, retaliatory tariffs from foreign countries, and market instability that may severely impact the wealth of high-income groups essential for consumer spending.

“If I’m correct and these effects become clear, I foresee a likely pivot from the tariffs accompanied by a declaration of success,” Zandi speculated. “While we might never reach a recession, we are likely to get uncomfortably close.”

At the same time, Zandi cautioned that it’s difficult to predict due to the unpredictable nature of Trump’s back-and-forth approach to tariffs.

How is Wall Street responding to Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariff plan?

Leading up to what Trump is referring to as “Liberation Day,” the stock market took a dive on Friday as investors reacted negatively to Trump’s trade policies alongside worries about inflation.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell more than 700 points, equivalent to a decrease of approximately 1.7%, marking its most significant drop since March 10. The S&P 500 also experienced a decline of over 100 points.

Gains that followed Trump’s electoral victory in November have been erased as he enacts his trade policies.

Friday’s steep declines occurred following reports that inflation in February was 2.5% higher than the prior year, as per the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation indicator. This aligned with economists’ predictions, but the core PCE — excluding volatile food and energy prices — rose to 2.8%, surpassing expectations of 2.7%.

How will other nations react to the tariffs?

Trump’s reciprocal tariffs are expected to intensify an ongoing global trade conflict even prior to their formal announcement.

Canada and China have already retaliated against Trump’s newly imposed tariffs, with both nations imposing their own tariffs on U.S. exports, while the European Union has signaled intentions to follow suit next month.

In response to Trump’s 25% tariffs on automobiles, Canadian Prime Minister Mike Carney stated that the U.S. is “no longer a reliable partner” and declared Canada’s intent to pursue increased business with other nations.

Vehicles that are part of the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement and considered imports will not incur the full rate of tariffs. Instead, the U.S. will only impose tariffs on the foreign components included in those vehicles imported from Canada and Mexico.

Regardless of such exceptions, Carney announced that Canada will introduce new retaliatory tariffs next week, emphasizing, “Nothing is off the table as we defend our workers and our nation.”

Leaders from Germany and France have also encouraged the EU to respond with similar retaliatory tariffs.

What will Trump’s response be if countries retaliate?

Trump asserted on Friday that the U.S. will “definitely” retaliate against any additional tariffs introduced by Canada with further measures.

“Numerous countries have taken advantage of us — in ways that many never thought possible over many decades,” Trump stated. “That must cease.”

Nonetheless, Trump did mention having a “very productive” phone conversation with Carney on Friday.

Furthermore, Trump shared with reporters that many global leaders concur with his views on tariffs, stating, “Numerous leaders actually express remorse, saying ‘We have taken advantage of the United States.’

However, Trump did not disclose the identities of said leaders.

Reach out to Joey Garrison on X @joeygarrison.